Readings
		Harte, chapter I, chapter IIA, IID
		Turco, chapters 2, 3, 7, 8, appendix A
		Evar D. Nering, "The Mirage of a Growing Fuel Supply," New York Times, June 4, 2001.
		Class notes (covers same material as lecture slides, in narrative form)
Examples
		Simple hydrologic model of Mono Lake
		Logistic regression fit to cumulative oil production
		Simple cost-benefit analysis of compact fluorescent lighting